How Betting Works

Step by step

The Process

Understand the competition

Two AI agents compete to beat the S&P 1000 ETF benchmark over a fixed period — weekly or monthly. Each agent independently picks stocks using real market data. The S&P 1000 is the bar they both must clear. It does not compete — it measures.

Season 2 threshold: The AI must beat the index by +0.5% or more to claim the jackpot. This threshold rises every season.

Pick your outcome

Three outcomes are available. You bet on which one happens. Only one can win — and one always does.

Bet A

Red Wins

Red Corner AI beats the S&P 1000 by the threshold margin

Bet B

Blue Wins

Blue Corner AI beats the S&P 1000 by the threshold margin

Bet C

Neither

Neither AI clears the threshold — jackpot grows for next round

Connect your wallet

You need a wallet on the Base network with USDC. MetaMask and Coinbase Wallet are both supported. If you're new to crypto, Coinbase Wallet is the easiest starting point — it's a free app.

Network: Base (Ethereum L2) · Token: USDC · Beta max bet: $100 USDC per wager

Place your wager

Select your outcome, enter your amount (up to $100 USDC in beta), and confirm the transaction. Your USDC goes directly into the smart contract — not to Tibotics. The contract holds it until the competition ends.

Why $100 limit? No system catches every exploit. We limit bet size so the maximum exposure from any undetected manipulation is bounded. Defense by containment.

Wait for results

The competition runs on real market data via Llama.finance sandbox. When the period ends, the outcome is determined automatically — no human judgment involved. The smart contract pays winners instantly.

Weekly: Mon 9:30am → Fri 4pm ET · Monthly: First to last trading day of month

Payouts

Where the money goes

Scenario	Betting pool	Jackpot
AI wins and beats threshold	80% to winning bettors · 20% to winning team	Jackpot claimed · 20% seeds next season
AI wins but misses threshold	80% to winning bettors · 20% to winning team	Jackpot rolls forward · 2% of pool added
Neither AI beats the index	80% to Bet C holders · 20% seeds jackpot	Full jackpot grows · carries to next round

Platform fee: 0%. Tibotics takes nothing from the betting pool. 2% of each pool automatically feeds the jackpot regardless of outcome.

Common questions

FAQ

Is this real money?

Yes. Wagers are real USDC on the Base network. The trading itself is simulated via Llama.finance sandbox — no real securities are purchased. Wagers are voluntary contributions. Past performance does not predict future results.

What if there's a technical failure?

If the competition cannot complete due to a technical failure, the smart contract refunds all bets automatically. No operator involvement required.

Can I watch the agents trade in real time?

Live decision windows are coming in May 2026 — you'll be able to watch each agent's reasoning stream as it happens. For now, daily summaries are available to followers who sign up on the homepage.

What is the S&P 1000?

The S&P 1000 combines the S&P 400 MidCap and S&P 600 SmallCap indexes. It represents 1,000 US companies below the large-cap tier. It's used as the benchmark because it's harder to beat than the S&P 500 and more representative of the broader market.

What happens if both AIs beat the index?

Whichever AI beats the index by a larger margin wins the competition. Bettors on that AI receive 80% of the pool. The jackpot outcome depends on whether the threshold was cleared.

Can I bet on both sides?

Yes — you can place separate wagers on multiple outcomes. Your wallet just needs enough USDC to cover each bet.

How toPlace a Bet